Pitfalls and traps to avoid in a new Alberta with Bruce Pardy
Canada51 State Discussion | June 1 | X Communities
Alberta’s path to independence requires ruthless realism. The greatest trap is underestimating Canada’s resolve to retain control and overestimating the ease of building a free society from the ashes of a broken compact. Prof. Pardy outlines why success hinges on a principled constitution, strategic patience, and public resolve to endure chaos for long-term liberty.
Securing a clear referendum mandate first before attempting to negotiate terms is crucial to ensure political leverage. Federal offers to renegotiate Alberta’s status within Canada (e.g., pipeline approvals, equalization reforms) are “Lucy and the football” distractions, says Prof. Pardy. Alberta’s systemic issues (centralized socialism, bureaucratic overreach) cannot be fixed within the existing constitutional framework.
Assuming that rules will be followed to avoid conflict if a referendum should succeed on the question of separation is naive, he warns. No global precedent exists for peaceful secession. Canada’s Supreme Court (post-Quebec) ruled only that a “clear majority” on a “clear question” triggers a duty to negotiate—not automatic independence. Outcomes remain politically fraught and unpredictable. Prof. Pardy calls the reality of separation for Alberta a political revolution:
“Do you really think Canada is going to let its cash cow just walk out the door because it said it wanted to?”
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